In most countries, the employer is responsible for ensuring a healthy and safe work environment. During the past century, preventive efforts have mainly focused on ’classical problems’ such as physical and chemical risk factors at the workplace. However, within the last decades, illness and absence from work due to mental health issues have led to increased focus on psychosocial factors within the work environment.

To this end, researchers have analyzed associations between the psychosocial work environment and health outcomes using different approaches. One approach is to define adverse psychosocial working conditions in accordance with theoretical models. The most frequently used – and best-evaluated – is the so-called “job strain model”, which is based on the notion that high job demands combined with low job control increase risk of diseases and disorders (1). Another widely-used model is the one related to effort–reward imbalance (ERI). This is based on the notion that an imbalance between high efforts spent at work and low rewards received, in terms of salary, recognition from the management, job security and promotion process, is health-hazardous (2). Likewise, researchers have also used the model of organizational justice, theorizing that exposure to low justice at work increases the risk of poor health (3). Recently, these findings were summarized in a meta-review of 72 systematic reviews, which reported convincing evidence that exposure to job strain and ERI is prospectively associated with an increased risk of poor health (4), in particular cardiovascular disease (5, 6) and depressive disorders (7–9). Additionally, low organizational justice has also been associated with increased risk of poor health. However, compared to the literature on job strain and ERI, the evidence is based on fewer studies and is less robust (10, 11).

A second approach is to examine numerous individual psychosocial work environment factors, rather than relying on theoretical models (12, 13). Thus, several studies have investigated the influence of one psychosocial factor while controlling for others, or explored their possible interactions. Such an approach raises the question whether specific combinations of risk factors may lead to synergistic or antagonistic effects. This question is difficult to answer using traditional interaction analyses, as the number of possible combinations grow exponentially, thereby substantially reducing statistical power.

A third, but rarely utilized, approach in work environment research is grouping individuals most alike in terms of the exposure variables in clusters in order to study the joint contribution of several psychosocial work factors. In the present paper, we utilize a clustering approach for examining possible joint associations between different combinations of psychosocial work factors and risk of poor health. Cluster analyses draw on hidden patterns in the data, and can – in the context of occupational research – identify clusters of workers with similar exposure characteristics. We have previously utilized this method to investigate the association between seven combined ergonomic work factors and risk of developing musculoskeletal pain (14).

In the present study, we used data from the Work Environment and Health in Denmark (WEHD) survey, which includes different psychosocial work environment variables. We included factors assumed to affect health outcomes via long-term stress processes, excluding factors such as workplace bullying or sexual harassment, as these presumably affect health and well-being more immediately. Likewise, we did not include factors at a higher hierarchical level, such as leadership quality, that may affect several of the other factors (15). Lastly, we excluded job insecurity, as it likely reflects the general economic- and labor-market situation more than the local work environment. Thus, we included the following nine factors: (i) quantitative demands (component of both job strain and ERI model, (ii) work pace (component of both job strain and ERI model), (iii) job control (component of the job strain model), (iv) recognition (component of ERI model), (v) justice at work (as a measure of organizational justice), (vi) emotional demands (a factor of increasing interest in epidemiological studies, in particular in Denmark (16), (vii) role clarity, (viii) role conflicts (two “classic” work environment factors, albeit with limited evidence from large-scale epidemiological cohort studies) (17) and (ix) collaboration and support from colleagues (representing a “classic” psychosocial work environment factor, which is also a part of the iso-strain model) (18) as well as a key component of the more recent approach of workplace social capital (19).

In the present analyses, we use long-term sickness absence (LTSA) as the outcome. LTSA, based on national registers, is strongly associated with measures of morbidity and mortality, and is therefore a reliable global indicator of poor health (20–22). LTSA constitutes a considerable burden for public finances in numerous countries, including Denmark, where municipalities reimburse employers for sickness absence benefits. We hypothesize that workers exposed to multiple risk factors exhibit a higher risk of LTSA compared to those exposed only to a few. However, as cluster analyses are inherently exploratory, we have no a priori assumption about which specific combinations most influentially increase the risk of LTSA. Against this background, the aim of this study is to investigate the importance of combined factors in the psychosocial work environment for the risk of LTSA. Furthermore, we explore whether age, gender and education modify the associations, as previous studies have suggested such effect modification (23–25).

Methods

Study design and population

This study combines all four waves (2012, 2014, 2016, and 2018) of the WEHD (26, 27) with the Danish Register for Evaluation of Marginalisation (DREAM). In each WEHD wave, probability samples of Danish residents aged 18–64 years, employed for a minimum of 35 hours per month with an income of at least 3000 DKK (approximately €400) per month in the past three months, were invited to participate. From 2012 to 2018, 228 173 people were invited, of which 127 882 (56%) responded to the survey. We included only people confirming through the survey that they were currently employed wage earners (N=110 357), ie, we did not include those self-employed. For people participating in more than one WEHD wave, we included only first occasion responses (N=73 298). Finally, we included only wage earners without LTSA during 52 weeks before their individual survey response and those replying to all questions about psychosocial work factors (N=69 371). Reporting is in accordance with the STROBE guidelines on cohort studies (28).

Psychosocial work factors (exposure)

The psychosocial work factors included in WEHD are primarily based on the Copenhagen Psychosocial Questionnaire (COPSOQ). We included the following nine psychosocial work factors (15, 29–31):

• PS1: – Recognition (REC) (1 item): How often is your work recognized and appreciated by management?

• PS2: Quantitative demands (QUD) (5 items, Cronbach’s alpha 0.74): (i) How often do you have enough time for your work tasks? (Reversed in the normalized score.) (ii) How often do you experience deadlines that are difficult to keep? (iii) How often do you receive unexpected work tasks that put you under time pressure? (iv) How often are you available outside normal working hours? (v) How often do you have to work overtime?

• PS3. Work pace (WOP) (1 item): How often is it necessary to keep a high work pace?

• PS4. Emotional demands (EMD) (1 item): How often are you emotionally affected by your work?

• PS5. Job control (JCO), also called “influence at work” or “decision latitude” (2 items, Cronbach’s alpha 0.75): (i) How often do you influence how you solve your work tasks? (ii) How often do you influence when you solve your work tasks?

• PS6. Justice (JUS) (2 items, Cronbach’s alpha 0.73): (i) How often are all employees affected by a decision heard? (ii) How often are all the employees treated fair at the workplace?

• PS7. Role clarity (RCL) (3 items, Cronbach’s alpha 0.77): (i) How often do you get the necessary information for doing your work? (ii) How often do you get the necessary help and instructions for doing your work? (iii) How often do you know exactly what your work task are?

• PS8. Role conflicts (RCO) (1 item): How often do you experience contradictory demands at work?

• PS9. Collaboration and support from colleagues (COL) (2 items, Cronbach’s alpha 0.77): (i) How often do you and your colleagues help each other in achieving the best possible results? (ii) How often do you and your colleagues collaborate when facing problems that require a solution?

Participants responded on a 5-point Likert scale ranging from ’always’ to ’never’. Responses were normalized on a scale ranging from 0–100, where never=0 and always=100 (32), except for the first quantitative demands item, which was reversed. The nine normalized scales were used for the cluster analysis.

Long-term sickness absence (outcome)

We linked survey responses from the WEHD study to the DREAM register through a unique personal identification number from the Central Person Register that is provided to all Danish residents at birth and to foreigners when immigrating to Denmark (21, 22). In Denmark, the first 30 days of sickness absence are financially covered by the employer, after which the municipality can reimburse the remaining days. DREAM contains weekly – and not daily – information about reimbursement of sickness absence payments. Thus, ≥30 days of consecutive sickness absence corresponds to 6 consecutive weekly registrations in DREAM as the first week of sickness absence may begin on the last day of the week, and the last week of sickness absence may begin on the first day of the week (ie, 1 + 4 × 7 + 1 days = 30 days). Therefore, we defined LTSA as having registered sickness absence in DREAM for a period of ≥6 consecutive weeks for a period of up to 2 years, starting the week after replying to the survey (33). For the last WEHD wave (2018), the follow-up period is limited to about 1.5 years (until the end of 2019, ie, before the start of the COVID-19 pandemic).

Control variables

Age (continuous variable) and gender (man, woman) for each individual were drawn from the Central Person Register of Denmark. Year of survey reply was a categorical variable (2012, 2014, 2016, and 2018). Highest completed education was drawn from a national register and included as a categorical variable (less than higher education, higher education). Health-behaviors included smoking status (categorical variable: daily, once in a while, ex-smoker, never), body mass index (BMI, kg/m2, continuous variable calculated from weight and height of the participants), leisure-time physical activity (continuous variable, total weekly hours of leisure physical activity). Physical workload (ergonomic index) was included as a continuous variable (33). Depressive symptoms [Major Depression Inventory (MDI), scale 0–50] was entered as a continuous variable (34). Frequency of musculoskeletal pain during the last three months was entered as a categorical variable (ie, daily, weekly, monthly, a few times, not at all). As health behaviors, depressive symptoms and frequency of musculoskeletal pain may also be potential mediators that could lead to over-adjustment, we present both minimally- and fully adjusted statistical models as well as sensitivity analyses.

Statistical analyses

Using k-means cluster analyses (Proc FastClus, SAS version 9.4, SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA) of the nine psychosocial work factors, we identified naturally occurring clusters in the working population (14). Checking for multicollinearity (r ≥ 0.70) did not lead to exclusion of any of the nine psychosocial factors. To determine the optimal number of clusters, we repeated the FastClus procedure with up to 20 clusters and compared the cubic clustering criterion (CCC), pseudo F, and explained variance (R2) against the number of clusters. This showed local peaks in CCC values (indicating possible good clustering) at 11, 13, 15 and 18 clusters with CCC values of 115, 113, 112 and 113, respectively. The corresponding pseudo F values were 6614, 5977, 5472 and 4908, respectively. The corresponding R2 values were 0.49, 0.51, 0.52 and 0.55, respectively. As all of these clustering possibilities could potentially be used, we chose the option with fewest clusters (ie, 11 clusters) to avoid a range of small clusters for further analyses.

Using the survey version of the Cox proportional hazard model (35) (Proc SurveyPhreg of SAS version 9.4.) we calculated hazard ratios (HR) of LTSA during follow-up for the different clusters. We used a time-to-first-event analysis and censored in case of one of the following criteria: Reaching the end of the two-year follow-up period, early retirement, disability pension, statutory retirement, emigration, or death, whichever came first. Each respondent was assigned a weight (based on information from national registers) to make the estimates representative. The weight variable repairs non-response and possible deviations of the probability sample from the population, and we did therefore not impute missing data.

We performed both minimally- and fully adjusted statistical models as well as sensitivity analyses. Model 1 (minimally adjusted) adjusted for age, gender, education, and year of survey reply. Model 2 (fully adjusted) additionally adjusted for health-behaviors and physical workload. Additionally, in three sensitivity analyses, we (i) controlled for musculoskeletal pain (pain frequency, categorical variable), (ii) controlled for mental health (MDI, continuous variable), and (iii) restricted the analyses to a subgroup of generally healthy individuals at baseline (excluding those with daily or weekly pain, or MDI scores ≥20). Finally, in the fully adjusted model 2, we tested for possible interactions of cluster with age, gender and education, respectively. In case of a statistical significant interaction (P<0.05), we provided additional stratified results. Results are reported as HR with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results

Table 1 shows baseline characteristics of the 69 371 participants in terms of age, gender, education, health-behaviors, work characteristics, musculoskeletal pain and depressive symptoms. During 124 045 person-years of follow-up, 6197 employees developed LTSA (50 cases per 1000 person-years. The weighted percentage of LTSA during the follow-up period was 8.5%. Figure 1 shows the unadjusted weighted percentages of LTSA in each cluster, stratified by gender.

Table 1

Baseline characteristics of the participants (N=69 371). [WEHD=Work Environment and Health in Denmark; SD=standard deviation; EI=ergonomic index.]

N%MeanSD
WEHD wave
 201219 41728.0
 201414 91221.5
 201618 12526.1
 201816 91724.4
Age (years)69 37145.910.8
Gender
 Men32 85647.4
Women36 51552.6
Highest education attained
 Less than higher education37 71154.7
 Higher education31 21645.3
Body mass index (kg/m2)67 40625.74.4
Leisure-time physical activity (hours/week)67 8035.23.3
Smoking
 Yes, daily984914.5
 Yes, once in a while35155.2
 Ex-smoker19 62729.0
 No, never34 81251.3
Physical work demands (EI 0-100)67 65519.016.4
Musculoskeletal pain last 3 months
 Daily10 40315.3
 Weekly11 97817.6
 Monthly958014.1
 A few times20 93330.7
 Not at all15 27922.4
Major Depression Inventory (0-50)67 9228.17.3
Figure 1

Unadjusted weighted percentages of long-term sickness absence during follow-up in the 11 identified clusters. Stratified for men and women.

https://www.sjweh.fi/f/fulltexts/236593/SJWEH-48-549-g001_min.jpg

Table 2 shows the results for the 11 identified clusters. For each cluster, the weighted mean values of each of the nine psychosocial work factors (PS1–PS9) are presented and marked with color grades to ease interpretation. In other words, cluster 1 is characterized by favorable scores for all psychosocial factors. Cluster 2, 3, and 4, are characterized by poor scores for work pace, emotional demands, and recognition, respectively, but favorable scores for several of the other psychosocial factors. Cluster 5 is characterized by poor scores for role conflicts, emotional demands and moderate to poor for quantitative demands, but still having good scores for recognition, job control, justice, role clarity and support from colleagues. Cluster 6 is mixed with favorable scores for quantitative demands and work pace, while scoring moderate for the rest. None of these clusters (ie, cluster 2–6) showed increased risk of LTSA in any of the analyses, neither minimally nor fully adjusted or sensitivity analyses, compared with the reference group (cluster 1). Thus, scoring poorly on one or two psychosocial factors while having favorable scores on the other psychosocial factors was not associated with an increased risk of LTSA. However, individuals in clusters scoring poorly on several psychosocial factors had an increased risk of LTSA (cluster 7–11). Cluster 11, scoring poorly on all nine psychosocial factors, showed the highest risk (HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.45–1.94) in the fully adjusted analysis. Interaction analyses showed that gender (F=1.91, P=0.039), but not age and education, influenced the association between cluster and risk of LTSA. Consequently, we present gender-stratified analyses of model 2 in the last two columns of table 2.

Table 2

Weighted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the risk of long-term sickness absence during follow-up in the identified clusters (C) compared with the reference cluster (cluster 1, scoring overall best on the 9 different psychosocial work factors). For each cluster, the weighted mean values of each of the nine psychosocial work factors (PS1–PS9) are presented and marked with shades to ease the interpretation (Darker shades indicate worse scores). In Model 2, cluster and gender interacted, and the results are therefore presented stratified for gender in the last two columns. [REC=recognition; QUD=quantitative demands; WOP=work pace; EMD=emotional demands; JCO=job control (“influence at work”); JUS=justice; RCL=role clarity; RCO=role conflicts; COL=collaboration and support from colleagues.]

PS1RECPS2QUDPS3WOPPS4EMDPS5JCOPS6JUSPS7RCLPS8RCOPS9COLModel 1 aHR (95% CI)Model 2 bHR (95% CI)Model 2 b(women)
833247309081882190111
7951811987748429870.87 (0.73–1.03)0.87 (0.73–1.04)0.70 (0.55–0.89)
8349786189768620880.91 (0.78–1.07)0.93 (0.79–1.09)0.90 (0.75–1.09)
4138591979587523780.95 (0.80–1.12)0.94 (0.79–1.11)0.86 (0.69–1.08)
8453775991798669901.07 (0.91–1.25)1.00 (0.85–1.18)1.04 (0.86–1.27)
5740495478607146761.15 (0.99–1.34)1.10 (0.94–1.29)1.05 (0.87–1.27)
3653805982607531821.26 (1.09–1.46)1.20 (1.03–1.39)1.09 (0.91–1.31)
4658792077546961781.22 (1.03–1.43)1.15 (0.98–1.36)1.00 (0.80–1.25)
6063836475556859751.29 (1.12–1.49)1.24 (1.07–1.43)1.21 (1.02–1.44)
2345624053365646591.61 (1.39–1.87)1.45 (1.25–1.69)1.33 (1.10–1.62)
2166866862365469691.96 (1.70–2.26)1.68 (1.45–1.94)1.68 (1.41–2.01)

a Adjusted for age, gender, education, and year of survey reply.

b Model 1 + health-behaviors (body mass index, smoking, leisure physical activity) and physical workload (ergonomic index).

Table 3 shows the sensitivity analyses. Controlling for frequency of pain reduced the risk estimates slightly, while controlling for depressive symptoms resulted in loss of statistical significance for the estimates of all clusters. However, based on visual inspection of the point estimates and their 95% CI, cluster 10 and 11 still appear to have an increased risk for LTSA compared with cluster 2, 3 and 4 (no overlap of CI). Including only generally healthy individuals at baseline also reduced the estimates, leaving only cluster 11 with a statistically significantly increased risk. Further, the analyses including generally healthy individuals at baseline showed that cluster 2 (scoring favorable on 8 of the 9 psychosocial work factors with the exception of work pace) had a lower risk compared to the reference group (scoring favorable on all 9 psychosocial work factors).

Table 3

Weighted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the risk of long-term sickness absence in sensitivity analyses of model 2 (table 2).

CModel 2 acontrolling for painModel 2 bcontrolling for depressive symptomsModel 2 conly generally healthy individuals
1111
20.86 (0.72–1.03)0.85 (0.71–1.01)0.78 (0.62–0.99)
30.89 (0.76–1.04)0.87 (0.74–1.02)0.81 (0.66–1.01)
40.90 (0.76–1.06)0.88 (0.74–1.04)0.82 (0.66–1.02)
50.98 (0.83–1.15)0.93 (0.79–1.10)1.00 (0.81–1.23)
61.04 (0.89–1.22)0.97 (0.83–1.13)0.99 (0.80–1.22)
71.10 (0.95–1.28)1.04 (0.89–1.21)0.97 (0.79–1.19)
81.07 (0.91–1.27)1.02 (0.86–1.21)1.02 (0.81–1.28)
91.11 (0.96–1.28)0.99 (0.86–1.15)1.11 (0.91–1.35)
101.29 (1.11–1.51)1.16 (0.99–1.36)1.17 (0.94–1.47)
111.42 (1.22–1.64)1.15 (0.99–1.35)1.31 (1.04–1.64)

a Controlled for musculoskeletal pain (pain frequency, categorical variable).

b Controlled for mental health (Major Depression Inventory, continuous variable).

c Estimates in a subgroup analysis including only generally healthy individuals at baseline (excluding those with daily or weekly pain and scoring ≥20 on MDI).

Table 4 shows the distribution of psychosocial work clusters for the different job groups in the study. Job group per se was not included as a variable in the statistical analyses but presented to put the results into context and examine whether the different clusters represented specific job groups. Overall, the clusters did not represent any particular job groups, ie, the different job groups included many different clusters, though some jobs had more high-risk clusters than others. Examples of job groups with relatively many individuals in high-risk clusters were police officers and prison guards, mail carriers, medical doctors, vocational education teachers, food and related products industrial laborers, social workers, and high school teachers. At the other end of the scale, examples of job groups with relatively few individuals in high-risk clusters were clinic and dental assistants, farmers and gardeners, building and cleaning supervisors, child daycare workers (note: taking care of children in the workers’ own home), as well as hairdressers and beauticians.

Table 4

Distribution of psychosocial work clusters in each job group (row percentages). Ranked in descending order from overall poorest to most favorable scores. Based on table 2, clusters 7–11 were clusters showing increased risk of LTSA in some of the analyses. Darker shades indicate higher percentage.

Job groupNCluster distribution (row percentage)

1234567891011
Police officers and prison guards416333751278161718
Mail carriers365485886513111814
Medical doctors583231528516525511
Vocational education teachers5574210661413415917
Food and related products industrial labourers696610313796126208
Social workers7225412291011321716
High school teachers7403311471221417513
Nurses25764313391018220613
Travel attendants and conductors155654881013961416
Journalists365851058715111678
Teachers28285214281415221512
Special needs teachers4527113461914215812
Fire-fighters and protective service professionals3048349818668227
Psychologists25864105101116222310
Bus, taxi, and train drivers616113516511764239
Professors and researchers at universities10676712681012720311
Health and personal care workers347583124121114414712
Military personnel435784711154131578
Special educators119882115102012214610
Service workers771255959181010510
Social science academics4788111061010981639
Customs inspectors and tax officials4296681281181113116
Educated child care workers (nursery and kindergarten)21917314312131521758
Manual workers in health care (e.g. porters)49783961214114121110
Sales and purchasing agents1485612118979111558
IT-technicians4768109117106121378
Handicraft and precisions workers18889716588871211
Customer services clerks6458611101291081098
Executive, medical, and legal secretaries15537101387101181277
Cashiers411911791178991011
Lawyers8895121187910121656
Freight forwarders1057910611889111098
Smiths126589316896147136
Auditors, advisors and analysts24505151171079101547
Butchers and bakers194514791486125811
Mechanics605101051379716898
Storage and transport labourers7311175151086137137
Managers32815121341661091626
Truck drivers7341511514673124187
Manufacturing labourers5551012413787117156
Physiotherapists and occupational therapists685721448161731558
Pharmaconomists and bioanalysts47587139581851198
Accounting staff128991110137711101165
Cooks and waiters4087141271239121168
Cleaners1482139891110768118
Science and engineering associates1541910812810811978
Machine operators17321085138107118146
Shop salespersons1665811981089101277
Mobile plant operators and drivers254911414588149143
Engineers and architects2128814118888121445
Librarians, archivists and curators43796108913951578
Electricians7971084176115156116
Technical draftsmen2819861551110121167
Assemblers440129514685139145
Accountants720913712791291066
Scientific academics3677141310671271456
IT consultants1649913810787121456
Office staff and secretaries3726101010116111071087
Construction workers86211941510126105126
Teachers’ aides and pedagogical assistants91711414313141221177
Painters2659126129115106117
Food preparation assistants4981112117138910776
Pharmacists, dentists and veterinarians311614196771061428
Bricklayers and plumbers722121251279616796
Laboratory technician4501291314289101077
Carpenters and woodworkers582815514887147103
Manual work without specification17813881559767156
Concrete workers47312104138144125127
Health care workers without specification3111171581191451146
Clinic and dental assistants361106159912136686
Farmers and gardeners398139691213910876
Building and cleaning supervisors610175810111656686
Child daycare workers643132135112881667
Hairdressers and beauticians8010716921914.9.5

Discussion

In the present study, we used k-means cluster analyses to identify clusters of workers with similar exposure characteristics. The analysis identified 11 different clusters corresponding to different combinations of psychosocial work exposures. Our study showed that scoring poorly on several psychosocial work factors plays an important role in the development of poor health, expressed herein as LTSA. Importantly, scoring favorable on several psychosocial factors outweighed the potentially adverse effects of scoring poorly on one or two factors.

Karasek’s job-strain model is probably the most thoroughly tested and documented model in the field of psychosocial work environment research (5–8, 36, 37). The job-strain model states that a combination of high demands and low control has detrimental effects on employees’ health. In the present study, cluster 11 corresponds to high demands and low control and confirms the adverse effect of this combination on employees’ health. However, this cluster was also characterized by poor scores on all the other psychosocial work factors. None of the clusters came out with the combination of high demands and low control while simultaneously scoring favorable, or even moderate, on other psychosocial work factors. Thus, the strong and consistent association between high job-strain and poor health reported in the literature may partly be due to co-occurrence with several other adverse psychosocial work factors.

Siegrist’s ERI model is another well-known framework, proposing that a certain combination of psychosocial work exposures increases the risk of poor health (6, 9, 36). In cluster 4 and 10, poor scores on recognition – which can be considered as a type of low reward – were combined with favorable scores on quantitative demands and work pace (effort). This combination should, according to Siegrist’s model, not increase the risk of adverse health outcomes. While this was true for cluster 4, we found increased risk of LTSA in cluster 10. The main difference between these two clusters is the co-occurrence of several adverse psychosocial exposures in cluster 10, ie, poor scores on job control, justice, role conflicts and support from colleagues. Hence, these negative factors appear to outweigh the potential benefit of low efforts.

Collectively, our results are broadly in line with these known theoretical models, ie, job-strain and ERI. However, our study also revealed the relevance of identifying naturally occurring clusters of psychosocial work exposures, as these represent common combinations of workplace exposures.

We assumed a priori that the cluster with the most favorable psychosocial work scores (cluster 1) should be defined as the reference cluster – ie, cluster 1 had high scores for recognition, job control, justice, role clarity and collaboration combined with low scores for quantitative demands, work pace, emotional demands and role conflicts. Nevertheless, clusters 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 did not – in any of the analyses – show increased risk of LTSA and may even suggest a J-shaped association. In the gender-stratified analysis (women) and in the sensitivity analysis including all generally healthy workers at baseline, cluster 2 (and a tendency for cluster 3 and 4) even showed lower risk of LTSA compared with cluster 1. Thus, a J-shaped association may exist between combined psychosocial work factors and risk of LTSA, as also indicated by the unadjusted data in figure 1. Thus, having one psychosocial ’challenge’ – in the present case in terms of higher work pace (cluster 2), higher emotional demands (cluster 3) or lower recognition (cluster 4) – may be better than having no challenges at all, as long as the majority of the other psychosocial work factors are favorable. However, the J-shape may also be due to selection, as it is conceivable that more resilient employee chooses more challenging job tasks. While future studies should explore this J-shaped association in more detail, the present results suggest that scoring favorably on several psychosocial factors may outweigh the potentially adverse effects of scoring poorly on one or two factors. This has important practical implications, ie, workplaces may focus on aspects of the psychosocial work environment that are feasible to improve. For example, if emotional demands are difficult to reduce because of the inherent working conditions of dealing with patients and clients, sufficient recognition for the work, ensuring a high level of influence, securing collegial support, making the different roles clear, may be a way to reduce the risk of LTSA.

Although some of the nine included work environment factors may be more important than others, we treated all psychosocial work factors equally and did not weigh if the factor was about a potential stressor, (such as high emotional demands) or about a potential or lack of resource (such as collaboration and support from colleagues). The present data do not show a clear pattern indicating one or two “super factors” for the risk of LTSA, but rather an accumulative effect of more adverse factors increasing this risk. However, this should be replicated in future studies specifically designed to test this hypothesis.

Finally, interaction analyses suggest that gender, but not age and education, influenced the association between cluster and risk of LTSA. The most pronounced gender differences were that women (but not men) in cluster 2 – high work pace, but favorable scores on the other factors – had reduced risk of LTSA, while men (but not women) in clusters 7 and 8 – mixed scores of poor, moderate and favorable on the different psychosocial work factors – had increased risk of LTSA. As the labor market in Denmark is somewhat gender-segregated, eg, relatively more women in care work and more men in construction work, job-group specific clusters may be speculated to influence these findings. However, judging by the distribution of clusters within each job group (table 4), no clear indication of this exists. While the present study does not explain the cause of these gender-differences, future studies should be cautious of testing for possible gender-interactions.

Limitations and strengths

We covered a large spectrum of the psychosocial work environment, by including nine different psychosocial work factors yielding 11 different clusters. However, we cannot claim the list of psychosocial factors to be exhaustive. The Danish Psychosocial Work Environment Questionnaire (DPQ) included 38 different psychosocial work factors (12). Several of these factors, eg, cognitive demands, were not measured in WEHD. Other factors were measured, but we decided not to include them in the analyses for the reasons explained in the introduction. Thus, data availability and assumption-based decisions limit the selection of work factors included in the present analysis.

Although we included factors related to theoretical models (eg, recognition as a part of the ERI model), our study was rather exploratory than theory driven. For example, we refrained from dichotomizing the 11 factors into demands versus resources, as suggested by the job-demands resources theory (38). Instead, we took a data-driven approach in identifying clusters most strongly associated with LTSA. We acknowledge that a more theory-driven approach would have likely resulted in different clusters. In addition, we measured four of the nine work factors with a single item only, which may have limited content validity. We would have preferred validated multi-item scales, like in the DPQ, but many of these were not available in WEHD. As the exposure variables on psychosocial work factors were self-reported, and we therefore chose an objective outcome measure, register-based LTSA, to avoid common-method biases. Nevertheless, some of the control variables were self-reported, e.g. mental health. As the state of mind may influence ratings of both psychosocial work factors and mental health, some misclassification bias may occur, ie, those with poor mental health may – everything else being equal – be more likely to rate the psychosocial work factors as worse. However, it may also be that poor working conditions had already led to poor mental health which in turn led to LTSA (mediation), and controlling the analyses for mental health may therefore have led to over-adjustment. In fact, poor mental health may act both as a confounder and mediator. For this reason, we also performed sensitivity analyses including only generally healthy individuals at baseline, which confirmed that the combination of many adverse psychosocial work factors (cluster 11) is associated with increased risk of LTSA. We did not include offending behaviors, such as workplace bullying, sexual harassment or violence, in the selection of cluster variables, because we did not want to mix factors that may have an immediate effect on health with other factors that may have a more long-term effect on health. This may pose a limitation because some of the highly unfavorable clusters could, speculatively, be clusters with a high prevalence of offending behaviors. The possibility also exists that factors at a higher hierarchical level, eg, leadership quality and behavior of the immediate supervisor or the top management, may have influenced several of the included factors. Further research should examine these aspects. Likewise, to circumvent some of the methodological limitations of the present study, future studies may consider using job-exposure matrices of clustering of psychosocial work factors as exposure variable and use diagnosed poor mental health obtained from registers (eg, depression) as a mediating factor in the risk of register-based absence from work or dropout from the labor market. However, such an approach is not without challenges, eg, register-based depression does not include undiagnosed cases. Furthermore, based on the distribution of clusters within job-groups (table 4), there may only be limited potential in constructing job-exposure matrices. Thus, job group differences for psychosocial work factors are not nearly as clear as those reported previously for physical workload (33). Using register-based LTSA as outcome also has some limitations. In Denmark, the cause of sickness absence is not registered (due to law). Thus, sickness absence from work can have several causes, including both work-related and non-work related diseases. In addition, we did not analyze short-term sickness absence or turnover. Nevertheless, LTSA is a good proxy of overall health that is strongly associated with adverse health endpoints in terms of disability pension and mortality (20). To ensure generalizable findings, the sample should be large and representative. In the present study, we used random samples of wage earners drawn over four different time points from 2012 to 2018. Further, we used model-assisted weight to ensure that estimates were representative. This strengthens the generalizability of the findings.

Concluding remarks

The combination of scoring poor on several psychosocial work factors plays an important role in the development of poor health in terms of LTSA. Importantly, scoring favorable on several psychosocial factors outweighed potentially adverse effects of scoring poor on one or two factors. This knowledge is of practical relevance especially for workplaces where the inherent conditions of the work make it difficult to improve all psychosocial work factors.

Data availability statement

The authors encourage collaboration and use of the data by other researchers. Data is stored on the secure server of Statistics Denmark, and researchers interested in using the data for scientific purposes should contact the authors.

Funding

Professor Lars L Andersen obtained a grant from the The Danish Working Environment Research Fund for this project (Arbejdsmiljøforskningsfonden, grant number 20195100758). The funder had no role in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or writing of the paper.

Conflicts of interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest