Objectives In a cohort of workers disabled by a work-related injury or illness, this study aimed to: (i) compare pre-injury prevalence estimates for common chronic conditions to chronic condition prevalence in a representative sample of working adults; (ii) calculate the incidence of chronic conditions post-injury; and (iii) estimate the association between persistent pain symptoms and the incidence of common chronic conditions.

Methods Eighteen months post-injury, 1832 workers disabled by a work-related injury or illness in Ontario, Canada, completed an interviewer-administered survey. Participants reported pre- and post-injury prevalence of seven physician-diagnosed chronic conditions, and demographic, employment, and health characteristics. Pre-injury prevalence estimates were compared to estimates from a representative sample of workers. Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine the association of persistent pain with post-injury chronic condition incidence.

Results Age-standardized pre-injury prevalence rates for diabetes, hypertension, arthritis, and back problems were similar to prevalence rates observed among working adults in Ontario, while prevalence rates for mood disorder, asthma and migraine were moderately elevated. Post-injury prevalence rates of mood disorder, migraine, hypertension, arthritis, and back problems were elevated substantially in this cohort. High persistent pain symptoms were strongly associated with the 18-month incidence of these conditions.

Conclusions The incidence of five chronic conditions over an 18-month follow-up period post injury was substantial. Persistent pain at 18 months was associated with this elevated incidence, with population attributable fraction estimates suggesting that 37–39% of incident conditions may be attributed to exposure to high levels of persistent pain.

Key terms arthritis; back problem; chronic condition; diabetes; migraine; mood disorder; pain; prevalence; work-related injury; worker compensation; working-age adult

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