Injury to the shoulder can be a substantial source of occupational disability, with shoulder pain impacting 18–26% of adults in prevalence surveys (1) and shoulder injuries leading to weeks away from work (in 2015, the US median days away from work due to shoulder injury was 23 days) (2). Rotator cuff disease (RCD) is the most common cause of shoulder disability with prevalence estimates for rotator cuff tears (both symptomatic and asymptomatic) in the general population consistently >10% in developed countries (3–6). Age is the predominant, well-established risk factor for development of a cuff tear (7, 8), but physical occupational demands may also play an important role in tear development, symptom onset, and symptom severity. Symptomatic cuff disease resulting in functional limitations is particularly concerning, especially for individuals who need to remain in the workforce. It is well established that frequency of rotator cuff surgery has been increasing in both the UK and the US (9, 10).
Occupations that require great upper extremity physical demands put individuals’ joints at greater risk of mechanical stresses that may lead to RCD. While evidence has accumulated demonstrating that occupational upper extremity loads are associated with risk of shoulder disorders generally (11–14), few studies have examined the specific relationship with RCD requiring surgery. A prospective study considering development and progression of rotator cuff tears demonstrated mixed results when evaluating associations with different measures of physical demands, but did not specifically measure occupational demands (15, 16). Several cross-sectional and retrospective studies have identified associations with work-related exposures and rotator cuff pathologies (13, 17–20), but these may be susceptible to healthy worker survivor bias. In addition, several of these studies relied on self-reported occupational exposures, potentially leading to differential exposure assessment among symptomatic workers (13, 18, 19). The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between occupational exposures and the risk of symptomatic RCD requiring surgery in a population-based, prospective cohort with unbiased assessment of work exposures based on job titles.
Methods
UK Biobank population
Our study population was derived from the UK Biobank, a prospective cohort of half a million people registered with the National Health Service (21). Between 2006 and 2010, people 40–69 years of age were enrolled across the UK through 21 assessment centers (22). People living ≤25 miles from an assessment center were identified through the National Health Service patient register and mailed invitations to participate (>9 million invited) (23). The National Health Service Research Ethics Committee approved UK Biobank. The Washington University Institutional Review Board determined this study to be exempt from oversight. Participants gave informed consent and completed a touchscreen questionnaire including questions about demographics, pain at different anatomical locations that interfered with usual activities, self-reported medical history, and how frequently their current job involved heavy physical work.
Occupational exposures
For participants who were employed at enrollment, trained UK Biobank staff collected information on current job title during a verbal interview and coded each job according to the UK Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) System 2000 (24). Between June and September of 2015, participants with an email address (N=324 653, including both those employed and retired/unemployed at enrollment), were contacted to collect lifetime job histories using a web-based tool that coded jobs into the UK SOC 2000 system (25). Our team linked UK SOC codes to the US SOC 2010 system in order to allow use of a recently developed job exposure matrix (JEM) based on the US Occupational Information Network (O*NET) database (26). Briefly, O*NET is a publicly available resource containing scores rating the physical and mental requirements of >800 jobs based on questionnaire responses from sampled workers and occupational experts (27). For the purposes of this study, we selected eight variables scored in O*NET as possibly relevant occupational exposures for the shoulder. Two of these variables estimate the level of a specific functional ability needed for job performance: static strength (ability to exert maximum muscle force to lift/push/pull/carry objects) and dynamic strength (ability to exert muscle force repeatedly or continuously over time). Two variables estimate the level of a particular work activity needed for job performance: handling & moving objects (using hands and arms in handling/installing/positioning/moving materials and manipulating things) and performing general physical activities (performing physical activities that require considerable use of your arms and legs and moving your whole body). Variables for abilities and work activities were measured on a 0–7 scale, with 7 representing the greatest level needed for job performance (examples of these levels are provided in the legend of figure 2). Finally, four variables estimate the amount of time spent under specific work conditions: time spent using your hands to handle/control/feel objects/tools/controls; time spent in cramped work space that requires awkward positions; time spent exposed to whole body vibration; and time spent making repetitive motions. Variables for work conditions were measured on a 1–5 scale, with 1 representing no time spent under specified conditions and 5 representing continual/almost continual time spent under specific conditions.
Rotator cuff disease surgery ascertainment
National Health Service Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) records are linked to the UK Biobank providing information on diagnoses and procedures during hospital admissions between 2006 and 2020 (this included same-day and overnight admissions). HES records are coded using the International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision (ICD-10) and procedures are coded using the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys Classification, 4th revision. Our case definition for RCD surgery cases required both: (i) a diagnosis with an ICD-10 code of M75.1 or S46.0 made at a visit with a physician specializing in trauma/orthopedics, and (ii) a surgical procedure consistent with RCD treatment (supplementary material, www.sjweh.fi/article/4062, table S1). RCD surgical procedures included arthroscopic or open soft tissue procedures such as rotator cuff repair or sub-acromial decompression as well as joint arthroplasty when paired with a procedure code specific to rotator cuff pathology.
Statistical analyses
As we were interested in incident symptomatic RCD, we excluded from analyses people reporting either tendonitis or ≥3 months of neck/shoulder pain at their baseline UK Biobank assessment visit, and people with a RCD diagnosis (ICD-10 of M75.1 or S46.0) from linked HES records prior to their UK Biobank enrollment date (based on data available back to 2006). Follow-up time for an incident RCD surgery started the date of an individual’s baseline assessment visit and ended at the first of: RCD surgery, death, loss-to-follow-up, or 31 December 2020 (the last date with available hospital data). As follow-up is obtained through linkage to hospital records, loss-to-follow-up only occurs when participants have reportedly left the country which has occurred in <0.03% of the population.
Initial analyses focused on estimating associations between characteristics of participants’ jobs reported at the baseline assessment visit and risk of incident RCD surgery. For this aim, we included people who reported a current job title at their baseline interview. A fraction of the population was retired, unemployed or had no job to report and were excluded. Additionally, we excluded people whose job code could not be linked to the O*NET job exposure matrix, specifically those with military jobs or non-specific job codes (eg, Transportation Workers, All Others). We then described distributions of each O*NET variable within the remaining population. Associations between each occupational exposure captured by O*NET and risk of RCD surgery were estimated using Cox regression adjusting for age at enrollment, sex, race, Townsend Deprivation Index (TDI, a neighborhood-level measure of deprivation), education, and body mass index (BMI) (adjustments were selected based on factors that could influence occupation that were also associated with RCD surgery in a prior UK Biobank study) (28). Participants with missing data for the included variables were excluded from regression models.
Immediate occupational effects on frequency of RCD surgery may be more likely to reflect differences in treatment-seeking behavior than differences in disease risk. To better isolate longer-term effects on disease risk we conducted sensitivity analyses with two-year, four-year, and ten-year time lags in which we only included RCD surgeries occurring two (and four and ten) years after the job title was reported at the baseline interview. Many of our O*NET measures were correlated with each other and with self-reported exposure to heavy physical work. To determine whether the O*NET variables were contributing uniquely predictive information, we also evaluated models that included the UK Biobank self-reported measure of heavy physical work.
Our second set of analyses focused on estimating associations between lifetime job histories and risk of RCD surgery. For this aim, we included people for whom a lifetime job history was available (including everyone, regardless of employment status at their baseline visit for the UK Biobank). We excluded people who had any job codes in their job history that could not be linked to the O*NET job exposure matrix (military occupations and non-specific jobs). While people could have job histories up until 2015, we only included time spent in jobs prior to their baseline visit so as not to include time occurring after a RCD surgery.
To calculate exposure duration across time we dichotomized the O*NET scores by creating whole number thresholds that identified people in approximately the top quartile of exposure for each variable as based on the distributions for jobs reported at baseline. For example, for the ‘Handling & Moving Objects’ measure, which has a score range of 0–7, time in a job with a score ≥4.0 was considered exposed. For our calculation of exposure duration, a job with work-weeks >30 hours was counted as full-time and the number of years in that job were summed to get a total number of exposed-years. A job with work-weeks of ≤30 hours counted as part-time and the number of years in that job were summed and divided by two to get a total number of exposed-years. We allowed a maximum of one exposure-year to be accumulated during any one calendar year, even if an individual reported working multiple jobs concurrently. Lifetime exposures for all variables were categorized as 0, 1–10, 11–20, 21–40, and ≥41 years. Associations with risk of RCD surgery were estimated using Cox regression, adjusting for age at enrollment, sex, race, TDI, education, and BMI.
Results
Associations with current job at baseline UK Biobank assessment visit
We excluded 78 855 people reporting chronic neck/shoulder pain at baseline, 1500 people with a hospital-based RCD diagnosis prior to enrollment, and 281 people with self-reported tendonitis at their baseline UK Biobank visit, leaving 421 850 people without evidence of prevalent symptomatic disease (figure 1). Of these, 143 918 (34%) people did not provide job title data at baseline, and 124 (0.03%) people had jobs that could not be scored with O*NET. Among the remaining 277 808 people, the median age was 54 years, 48.6% were men, and 93.9% were white (table 1). Most people reported that their jobs never or rarely involved heavy manual/physical work, while 6.3% reported that their jobs always involved heavy manual/physical work. Across follow-up, 1997 RCD surgery cases were identified.
Figure 1
Selection of UK Biobank study populations with current job titles and lifetime job histories. *There were 63 614 participants with information on both current job title at baseline and lifetime job history.

Table 1
Characteristics of UK Biobank population with current job titles at baseline enrollment visit and with reported lifetime job history. [IQR=interquartile range]
Population with job title at enrollment | Population with lifetime job history | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|||
N (%) | Median (IQR) | N (%) | Median (IQR) | |
Total | 277 808 | 100 929 | ||
Age | 54 (48, 60) | 57 (50, 62) | ||
Male sex | 134 929 (48.57) | 44 692 (44.28) | ||
Race | ||||
White | 260 906 (93.92) | 98 236 (97.33) | ||
Black | 4943 (1.78) | 520 (0.52) | ||
Asian | 6472 (2.33) | 933 (0.92) | ||
Mixed | 1747 (0.63) | 455 (0.45) | ||
Unknown | 3740 (1.35) | 785 (0.78) | ||
Townsend deprivation index a | -0.21 (-0.36, 0.04) | -0.25 (-0.39, -0.04) | ||
Body mass index (BMI, kg/m2) b | ||||
Underweight (<18.5) | 1326 (0.48) | 597 (0.59) | ||
Healthy weight (18.5–<25.0) | 94 049 (33.97) | 39 614 (39.33) | ||
Overweight (25.0–<30.0) | 117 795 (42.55) | 41 553 (41.25) | ||
Obese (≥30.0) | 63 701 (23.01) | 18 968 (18.83) | ||
Job involves heavy manual or physical work c | ||||
Never/rarely | 161 166 (65.82) | 49 314 (76.6) | ||
Sometimes | 51 955 (21.22) | 10 638 (16.53) | ||
Usually | 16 262 (6.64) | 2600 (4.04) | ||
Always | 15 483 (6.32) | 1823 (2.83) |
Distributions of physical exposures were evaluated based on O*NET scores linked to job titles. Scores for O*NET variables of ‘static strength’, ‘dynamic strength’, ‘cramped work space, awkward positions’, and ‘exposure to whole body vibration’ were notably right-skewed, with most people employed in jobs with low exposure (figure 2). The most extreme skew was observed for ‘exposure to whole body vibration’, for which nearly 50% of the population had jobs indicating no exposure. By comparison, scores for O*NET variables ‘handling & moving objects’, ‘performing general physical activities’, ‘spending time using your hands to handle/control/feel objects/tools/controls’, and ‘making repetitive motions’ were more evenly distributed across the range of possible values.
Figure 2
Distribution of O*NET variables among the 277 808 people in the UK Biobank with current job titles at baseline enrollment visit. For ‘Static Strength’, ‘Dynamic Strength’, ‘Handling and Moving Objects’, and ‘Performing General Physical Activities’, scores of 7 represent the greatest level of that ability or activity needed for job performance. For the evaluation of jobs, O*NET provides example tasks that correspond to different values, including for ‘Static Strength’ 1=Push an empty shopping cart and 6=Lift 75-pound bags of cement onto a truck; for ‘Dynamic Strength’ 2=Use pruning shears to trim a brush and 6=Perform a gymnastics routine using the rings; for ‘Handling and Moving Objects’ 2=Change settings on copy machines and 6=Load boxes on an assembly line; and for ‘Performing General Physical Activities’ 1=Walk between work stations in a small office and 6=Climb up and down poles to install electricity. For ‘Spend Time Using Your Hands to Handle, Control, or Feel Objects, Tools, or Controls’, ‘Cramped Work Space, Awkward Positions’, ‘Exposed to Whole Body Vibration’, and ‘Making Repetitive Motions’ scores of 1 represent no time spent under specified conditions and scores of 5 represent continual/almost continual time spent under specified conditions.

For analyses estimating the association of work exposures with RCD surgery we limited the population to the 240 433 people with O*NET scores, information on self-reported exposure to physical work, and information on potential confounders (age, sex, race, TDI, education and BMI) (figure 1). Among this population, there were 1623 cases of RCD surgery across a median follow-up time of 11.9 years (interquartile range: 11.2–12.6). In multivariable models adjusting for age, sex, race, TDI, education, and BMI, greater exposures to physical demands were associated with increased risk of RCD surgery as captured by all the O*NET variables with the exception of ‘making repetitive motions’ (table 2). The self-reported heavy physical work measure was also associated with increased risk of RCD surgery in multivariable analysis (table 2). Among the O*NET variables scored on a 1–5 scale, the strongest association was observed for exposure to whole body vibration, with each 1-point increase associated with 45% increased risk of RCD surgery [95% confidence interval (CI) 30–61%, table 2]. This was followed by exposure to cramped work space or awkward positions, for which each 1-point increase was associated with 25% increased risk of RCD surgery (95% CI 16–33%). Among the O*NET variables scored on a 0–7 scale, the strongest association was observed for dynamic strength, with each 1-point increase associated with 20% increased risk of RCD surgery (95% CI 13–28%), followed by performing general physical activities with each 1-point increase associated with 16% increased risk of RCD surgery (95% CI 12–21%).
Table 2
Associations between Occupational Information Network (O*NET) characteristics based on job title at baseline assessment and incidence of rotator cuff disease surgery among 240 433 people in the UK Biobank [HR=hazard ratio; HRadj=adjusted HR; CI=confidence interval].
Characteristic | Multivariable associations a | Multivariable model with self-reported occupational manual labor a | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|||
HRadj (95% CI) | P-value | HRadj (95% CI) | P-value | |
O*NET b | ||||
Static strength | 1.13 (1.09–1.18) | <0.0001 | 1.03 (0.98–1.08) | 0.2191 |
Dynamic strength | 1.20 (1.13–1.28) | <0.0001 | 1.04 (0.97–1.11) | 0.2660 |
Handling & moving objects | 1.12 (1.08–1.16) | <0.0001 | 1.02 (0.98–1.07) | 0.3185 |
Performing general physical activities | 1.16 (1.12–1.21) | <0.0001 | 1.07 (1.02–1.12) | 0.0063 |
Spend time using your hands to handle, control, or feel objects, tools, or controls | 1.10 (1.04–1.17) | 0.0014 | 1.00 (0.94–1.06) | 0.9118 |
Cramped work space, awkward positions | 1.25 (1.16–1.33) | <0.0001 | 1.09 (1.01–1.18) | 0.0235 |
Exposed to whole body vibration | 1.45 (1.30–1.61) | <0.0001 | 1.21 (1.07–1.36) | 0.0018 |
Spend time making repetitive movements | 0.99 (0.92–1.06) | 0.6797 | 0.94 (0.88–1.01) | 0.1089 |
UK Biobank self-reported measure | ||||
Job involves heavy manual or physical work c | ||||
Never/rarely | Ref. | Ref. | ||
Sometimes | 1.45 (1.29–1.64) | <0.0001 | ||
Usually | 1.94 (1.64–2.29) | <0.0001 | ||
Always | 2.12 (1.79–2.50) | <0.0001 |
a Cox regression models adjusted for age, sex, race, Townsend Deprivation Index, education, and body mass index.
b Each O*NET characteristic was modeled per point increase on a 0–7 point scale for static strength; dynamic strength; handling & moving objects; and performing general physical activities; and modeled per point increase on a 1–5 point scale for spend time using your hands to handle, control, or feel objects, tools, or controls; cramped work space, awkward positions; and exposed to whole body vibration.
In sensitivity analyses, we found similar results when we evaluated associations between O*NET measures and RCD surgery after implementing 2-, 4-, and 10-year lags (supplementary table S2).
When associations between O*NET variables and RCD surgery were evaluated in multivariable models that included self-reported manual labor, statistically significant associations remained for general physical activities, exposure to cramped work space or awkward positions, and exposure to whole body vibration (all P<0.05, table 2). Self-reported heavy physical work was most strongly correlated with O*NET measures for handling and moving objects, static strength, and dynamic strength (supplementary table S3).
Associations with lifetime job history
Of the 421 850 participants without evidence of prevalent disease, 103 720 reported a lifetime job history (figure 1). There were 2791 people (3%) with jobs that could not be scored with O*NET, leaving 100 929 people to include in analyses (figure 1, table 1). Among these people, 575 had subsequent RCD surgery. There were 63 614 people included in both the current job title and lifetime job history populations.
Among those reporting lifetime job history, we evaluated associations between time with a great exposure level (top quartile) and risk of RCD surgery for each O*NET measure after adjusting for age, sex, race, TDI, education, and BMI. A greater duration of time in jobs frequently requiring repetitive motions was not associated with RCD surgery risk. For all other O*NET variables evaluated, ≤10 years of exposure was not associated with a significant increase in RCD surgery risk, but >10 years of exposure was consistently associated with increased RCD surgery risk (table 3). Risk was highest in people with 11–40 years of great exposure for all variables. The strongest associations were observed for time with great static strength requirements [adjusted hazard ratio (HRadj) for 11–20 versus 0 years=2.06, 95% CI1.39– 3.04), performance of general physical activities (HRadj for 11–20 versus 0 years=2.09, 95% CI 1.46–2.99), and exposure to whole body vibration (HRadj for 11–20 versus 0 years=2.58, 95% CI 1.68–3.98).
Table 3
Associations between years in occupations with high scores for O*NET variables and rotator cuff disease surgery incidence among 100 895 people in the UK Biobank with lifetime job histories. [HR=hazard ratio; HRadj=adjusted HR; CI=confidence interval.]
Characteristic | Rotator cuff disease surgery N (%) | Multivariable associations a | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|||
Yes (N=575) | No (N=100 354) | HRadj (95% CI) | P-value | |
Static strength score ≥3.0 (years) | ||||
0 | 452 (78.61) | 85 613 (85.34) | Ref. | Ref. |
1-10 | 42 (7.30) | 7663 (7.64) | 1.00 (0.73–1.38) | 0.9894 |
11-20 | 28 (4.87) | 2384 (2.38) | 2.06 (1.39–3.04) | 0.0003 |
21-40 | 37 (6.43) | 3363 (3.35) | 1.88 (1.32–2.67) | 0.0005 |
≥41 | 16 (2.78) | 1297 (1.29) | 1.54 (0.91–2.60) | 0.1093 |
Dynamic strength score ≥2.0 (years) | ||||
0 | 400 (69.57) | 77 793 (77.54) | Ref. | Ref. |
1-10 | 69 (12.00) | 12 456 (12.42) | 1.08 (0.83–1.40) | 0.5616 |
11-20 | 36 (6.26) | 3539 (3.53) | 1.91 (1.35–2.71) | 0.0003 |
21-40 | 48 (8.35) | 4676 (4.66) | 1.86 (1.35–2.56) | 0.0001 |
≥41 | 22 (3.83) | 1856 (1.85) | 1.57 (0.99–2.48) | 0.0561 |
Handling & moving objects score ≥4.0 (years) | ||||
0 | 338 (58.78) | 65 970 (65.76) | Ref. | Ref. |
1-10 | 90 (15.65) | 17 241 (17.19) | 1.02 (0.81–1.29) | 0.8428 |
11-20 | 53 (9.22) | 6183 (6.16) | 1.58 (1.18–2.13) | 0.0024 |
21-40 | 61 (10.61) | 7931 (7.91) | 1.36 (1.02–1.81) | 0.0335 |
≥41 | 33 (5.74) | 2995 (2.99) | 1.38 (0.94–2.04) | 0.1008 |
Performing general physical activities score ≥4.0 (years) | ||||
0 | 425 (73.91) | 82 220 (81.96) | Ref. | Ref. |
1-10 | 46 (8.00) | 8197 (8.17) | 1.02 (0.75–1.40) | 0.8854 |
11-20 | 34 (5.91) | 2971 (2.96) | 2.09 (1.46–2.99) | <.0001 |
21-40 | 50 (8.70) | 4937 (4.92) | 1.79 (1.31–2.45) | 0.0003 |
≥41 | 20 (3.48) | 1995 (1.99) | 1.26 (0.78–2.03) | 0.3479 |
Spend time using your hands to handle, control, or feel objects, tools, or controls score ≥4.0 (years) | ||||
0 | 401 (69.74) | 78 342 (78.09) | Ref. | Ref. |
1-10 | 62 (10.78) | 10 656 (10.62) | 1.10 (0.84–1.45) | 0.4921 |
11-20 | 36 (6.26) | 4069 (4.06) | 1.64 (1.16–2.33) | 0.0053 |
21-40 | 50 (8.70) | 5066 (5.05) | 1.79 (1.31–2.45) | 0.0003 |
≥41 | 26 (4.52) | 2187 (2.18) | 1.55 (1.01–2.38) | 0.0457 |
Cramped work space, awkward positions score ≥3.0 (years) | ||||
0 | 488 (84.87) | 91 460 (91.17) | Ref. | Ref. |
1-10 | 25 (4.35) | 3839 (3.83) | 1.03 (0.68–1.56) | 0.8972 |
11-20 | 19 (3.30) | 1564 (1.56) | 1.98 (1.24–3.16) | 0.0044 |
21-40 | 28 (4.87) | 2337 (2.33) | 1.89 (1.26–2.83) | 0.0019 |
≥41 | 15 (2.61) | 1120 (1.12) | 1.60 (0.94–2.74) | 0.0861 |
Exposed to whole body vibration score ≥2.0 (years) | ||||
0 | 495 (86.09) | 92 354 (92.06) | Ref. | Ref. |
1-10 | 22 (3.83) | 3589 (3.58) | 1.01 (0.65–1.56) | 0.9757 |
11-20 | 23 (4.00) | 1388 (1.38) | 2.58 (1.68–3.98) | <.0001 |
21-40 | 23 (4.00) | 1925 (1.92) | 1.95 (1.26–3.02) | 0.0027 |
≥41 | 12 (2.09) | 1064 (1.06) | 1.32 (0.73–2.40) | 0.3550 |
Spend time making repetitive motions score ≥4.0 (years) | ||||
0 | 462 (80.35) | 82 204 (81.94) | Ref. | Ref. |
1-10 | 61 (10.61) | 11 357 (11.32) | 0.97 (0.74–1.27) | 0.8147 |
11-20 | 23 (4.00) | 3416 (3.41) | 1.14 (0.74–1.76) | 0.5599 |
21-40 | 23 (4.00) | 2753 (2.74) | 1.36 (0.88–2.10) | 0.1650 |
≥41 | 6 (1.04) | 590 (0.59) | 1.28 (0.57–2.89) | 0.5524 |
Discussion
The need to better understand risk factors for symptomatic RCD requiring surgery cannot be understated. RCD is the most common cause of shoulder pain and a significant driver of time lost from work. A better understanding of occupational exposures can identify high risk groups and potentially guide preventative strategies. This large, population-based cohort study provided the opportunity for a unique, prospective examination of the associations between occupational exposures and surgical treatment for RCD. Our use of a JEM for estimating occupational exposures avoids the recall bias associated with self-report. This study demonstrated that, for all estimates of physical occupational exposures examined, there were significant associations between greater physical exposure and increased risk of rotator cuff surgery. All physical occupational exposures were positively correlated with one another to some degree, thus associations may reflect a combined effect of these exposures. Our O* NET JEM provided novel physical exposures of importance, not captured by the self-reported UK Biobank data, such as exposure to whole body vibration and exposure to cramped work space or awkward positions. Importantly, use of a JEM also provided estimates of exposures unaffected by participants’ disease status (29, 30). When examining lifetime job histories, we found the effects of all physical occupational exposures to be most evident among people with more than a decade of the greatest exposure levels.
Only a few prior studies have assessed associations between occupational exposures and RCD identified through radiographic or clinical examination. These studies have identified several risk factors, including arm elevation, heavy lifting, and use of handheld vibrating tools (13, 17–20). However, most have been retrospective or cross-sectional studies that could be susceptible to recall bias or selection bias. One recent prospective study of manufacturing and healthcare workers found that forceful hand exertions and certain upper arm postures were associated with development of rotator cuff syndrome (encompassing tears, tendinopathy, and subacromial pain syndrome) over a two-year follow-up period (31). Our study identified many similar risk factors, including heavy manual work, exposure to vibration, and awkward positions (which could include awkward upper arm postures).
Several studies from Denmark have also used a JEM to assess occupational shoulder burdens associated with surgery for shoulder impingement syndrome (which includes RCD surgeries along with other procedures) (12, 32, 33). A recent re-analysis of this cohort found that associations with occupational exposures were slightly stronger for cases with a rotator cuff syndrome diagnosis (M75.1) compared to other shoulder diagnoses such as tendinitis, impingement, and bursitis (34). Risk factors identified in these studies included forceful exertion, similar to our measures of static and dynamic strength, and hand-arm vibration, similar to our measure of whole body vibration (though our measure would be unlikely to capture many sources of vibration specific to the arm, such as use of power tools). Our study adjusted for several factors that could not be measured in the Danish studies, such as BMI and measures of socioeconomic status, and so the consistency of our findings further strengthens the evidence that these occupational risk factors are important contributors to RCD surgery risk.
One strength of our study was its assessment of associations between lifetime occupational exposures and RCD surgery. As participants in the UK Biobank represent an older population (40–69 years of age at enrollment), we would expect most rotator cuff tears in this population to have a degenerative component. For degenerative RCD, the accumulation of occupational exposures over time may be particularly important. In line with this hypothesis, it was only among people with over a decade of exposure to greater levels of physical demands that we observed significantly increased rates of RCD surgery. However, effects appeared to weaken among people with >40 years of exposure. This is likely due to a healthy worker survivor effect, in which people who are most susceptible to the adverse effects of heavy physical work are unlikely to remain in these occupations for many decades. Thus, workers with >40 years of exposure to physically demanding work may represent a select subgroup of people who are more resistant to the development of RCD. Similar patterns have been observed in occupational studies of carpal tunnel syndrome and lung cancer, in which the highest exposed workers did not have the highest rates of disease (35–37).
Our linkage with the O*NET JEM allows the use of unique and validated occupational measures not previously available in UK Biobank (26). This includes estimates for more specific exposures than those captured by self-report in UK Biobank. For instance, variables for exposure to whole body vibration and awkward positions were associated with RCD surgery independent of self-reported heavy physical work. A JEM can increase non-differential measurement error because all workers in the same job are assigned identical exposures, but JEM-estimated exposures are less susceptible to recall bias than self-reported exposures (29, 30). As a result, demonstrating associations between JEM-estimated exposures and RCD surgery strengthens the evidence that physical occupational exposures play an important role in RCD surgery risk. As O*NET was developed in the United States, some misclassification could occur due to differences in work duties in job classification in the UK. However, studies in UK Biobank and other European populations have shown that O*NET JEM estimates correspond well with other measures of physical work and appropriately identify the most and least physically-demanding jobs (26, 38, 39). Beyond the current study, the O*NET JEM could aid in future studies of other musculoskeletal diseases in the UK Biobank, particularly for the capture of lifetime exposures.
Our study had several limitations. First, jobs with the greatest physical demands may be difficult to perform with significant shoulder pain, leading to increased pursuit of surgical treatment. However, the associations we observed with job title at baseline were not attenuated in lagged analyses and associations with job exposure duration were strongest in those with more than a decade of exposure, indicating that our findings are not purely an artifact of acute treatment-seeking behaviors. Second, we lacked some specific exposure measures of importance for the rotator cuff. In particular, we could not capture prolonged arm elevation, which is one of the most consistently identified occupational risk factors for RCD and shoulder pain more broadly (40). Third, the UK Biobank population is more affluent than the UK as a whole and has been identified to have a healthy volunteer bias (23). The subset of participants who reported their lifetime job history appear to be even more affluent potentially because those doing computer-based work were more likely to have email and more easily able to complete the web-based questionnaire. As a result, people with the most physically-taxing work are likely under-represented in this study, and we expect absolute disease risks to be underestimates. However, if anything, this would reduce the chances of finding significant effects like those demonstrated here. Finally, by specifically evaluating cases managed surgically, we have likely focused on advanced or later-stage cuff disease. Although this likely provides a more precisely defined case group (excluding patients with other causes of shoulder pain), our case numbers will greatly underestimate the full burden of RCD.
In this large general population sample of the UK we observed numerous consistent associations between physical work exposures and RCD serious enough to require surgery. These associations were observed for a self-reported measure of heavy physical work, which captures variation at the individual level, and for several JEM-estimated physical work exposures, which are less likely to be influenced by reporting bias. Our results provide evidence that surgery for RCD may be considered as a potentially compensable occupational condition (41), particularly for people with more than a decade of work in physically-demanding occupations, where we observed a doubling of risk. Occupation should be recognized as an important contributor to the development of RCD, including degenerative RCD, which likely accounted for most of our cases given the age of our population. Workplace interventions could mitigate some of this risk, potentially increasing both worker health and productivity.